Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 51.53%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Talleres had a probability of 22.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.93%) and 1-2 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Talleres win it was 1-0 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
