SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 26 | Patronato | 12 | -13 | 10 |
| 27 | Talleres | 13 | -13 | 8 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Goias | 10 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 | Flamengo | 10 | 0 | 12 |
| 15 | Botafogo | 10 | -3 | 12 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 51.53%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Talleres had a probability of 22.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.93%) and 1-2 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Talleres win it was 1-0 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Talleres | Draw | Flamengo |
| 22.96% | 25.51% | 51.53% |
| Both teams to score 48.18% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.56% | 54.44% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.19% | 75.81% |
| Talleres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.11% | 38.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.38% | 75.62% |
| Flamengo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.84% | 21.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.98% | 54.02% |
| Score Analysis |
| Talleres | Draw | Flamengo |
| 1-0 @ 7.77% 2-1 @ 5.7% 2-0 @ 3.67% 3-1 @ 1.79% 3-2 @ 1.39% 3-0 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.48% Total : 22.96% | 1-1 @ 12.06% 0-0 @ 8.23% 2-2 @ 4.43% Other @ 0.79% Total : 25.51% | 0-1 @ 12.78% 0-2 @ 9.93% 1-2 @ 9.37% 0-3 @ 5.14% 1-3 @ 4.85% 2-3 @ 2.29% 0-4 @ 2% 1-4 @ 1.89% Other @ 3.29% Total : 51.53% |
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