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League One | Gameweek 23
Dec 27, 2022 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
DL

Bolton
0 - 0
Derby


Bradley (61'), Aimson (89')
FT

Forsyth (26')

Preview: Bolton Wanderers vs. Derby County - prediction, team news, lineups

:Headline: Preview: Bolton Wanderers vs. Derby County - prediction, team news, lineups:
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Sports Mole

In a battle between two sides in the League One playoff places, Bolton Wanderers take on Derby County at the University of Bolton Stadium on Boxing Day.

The Wanderers are currently fifth in the table, one point ahead of the Rams, who occupy sixth place.


Match preview

Bolton have managed to build on a ninth-placed finish in League One last season, comfortably inside the top six as a result of a very impressive home record in the first half of the campaign.

Having acquired 23 points from 11 games, Ian Evatt's side boast the second-best record on home soil in the entire division, trailing only league leaders Plymouth Argyle, also conceding a total of just eight goals.

While form on the road has not been as impressive, the Whites have still displayed this defensive acumen on their travels, with their total tally of 19 goals conceded being the fourth-best record in the league, and paramount to their solid season.

The Wanderers had been enduring somewhat of a dip in form, having won just one of their five previous matches prior to last weekend's encounter with Exeter City at the University of Bolton Stadium.

However, goals from Conor Bradley and Dion Charles in the first half ensured that Bolton got back to winning ways in League One, but they will need to be at their best to follow that victory up this weekend, as they have only beaten Derby in one of their last 11 attempts.

Not only that, but the Rams have only lost one of their last 12 games in all competitions, with this coming away at Liverpool in the EFL Cup at the start of November, a match that was decided on penalties.

While Paul Warne will be happy that his side have been difficult to beat, it is worth noting that they have actually drawn more times than they have won during this run, sharing the spoils on six occasions, and winning on five.

Much like Bolton, solid efforts in defence have been vital for Derby's current league position, and with 17 goals conceded, they have the joint-second best defensive record in the division, having also conceded just twice in their last six matches in all competitions.

In their last match, the Rams also displayed their abilities going forward, romping home to a 4-0 victory against Forest Green Rovers at Pride Park, their biggest win in League One all season.

Nathaniel Mendez-Laing opened the scoring after five minutes before David McGoldrick scored a hat-trick, continuing his good recent form and securing all three points for his side, but Saturday's game is likely to be a far tougher test.

Bolton Wanderers League One form:


Bolton Wanderers form (all competitions):


Derby County League One form:


Derby County form (all competitions):



Team News

Declan John is now available again in defence for Bolton, but Evatt may wait before returning him to the starting lineup, given that his team kept a clean sheet last time out.

Instead, the manager may opt for Eoin Toal, Will Aimson and George Johnston, who all started the last match, in a 3-4-1-2 system.

Dion Charles should be a nailed-on starter in attack, having scored four goals in his last four games, partnering Oladapo Afolayan, who scored in the 4-0 victory against Manchester United Under-21s last week.

Derby have been handed an injury boost with the news that goalkeeper Joseph Anang is now back in contention, after overcoming an injury problem which has ruled him out throughout this campaign.

However, Joe Wildsmith has been performing well as of late and may keep his place between the sticks, with Eiran Cashin, Craig Forsyth, Louie Sibley and Korey Smith making up the back four in front of him.

After his recent displays, David McGoldrick is a nailed-on starter in attack, with James Collins set to play alongside him.

Bolton Wanderers possible starting lineup:
Trafford; Toal, Aimson, Johnston; Bradley, Morley, Sheehan, Iredale, Lee; Afolayan, Charles

Derby County possible starting lineup:
Wildsmith; Smith, Forsyth, Cashin, Sibley; Mendez-Laing, Hourihane, Bird, Barkhuizen; McGoldrick, Collins


We say: Bolton Wanderers 1-1 Derby County

The two teams are very evenly matched, as indicated by their league positions, so it is difficult to pick a winner on Boxing Day.

As such, we expect that the match will finish as a draw, with both sides maintaining their place in the League One playoffs.


For data analysis of the most likely results, scorelines and more for this match please click here.


Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 2.5:data


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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
2Derby CountyDerby462881078374192
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
21Cheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030
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