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Brasileiro | Gameweek 18
Aug 6, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Arena Fonte Nova
AM

Bahia
3 - 1
America Mineiro

Stum (26'), Oliveira Souza (60'), Ratao (69')
Ademir (72'), Jacare (83'), Cittadini (90+4'), Hugo (90+9')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mastriani (52')
Burgos (34'), Mastriani (65'), Benitez (72'), Juninho (78')
Burgos (65')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Bahia and America Mineiro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sao Paulo 0-0 Bahia
Sunday, July 30 at 3pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: America Mineiro 1-1 Bragantino
Friday, August 4 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 51.15%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 24.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 0-1 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.

Result
BahiaDrawAmerica Mineiro
51.15% (1.076 1.08) 24.51% (-0.281 -0.28) 24.34% (-0.792 -0.79)
Both teams to score 52.68% (0.07 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.74% (0.485 0.48)49.26% (-0.483 -0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.68% (0.436 0.44)71.32% (-0.434 -0.43)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.74% (0.625 0.63)19.25% (-0.621 -0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.03% (1.018 1.02)50.97% (-1.014 -1.01)
America Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.24% (-0.417 -0.42)34.76% (0.421 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.51% (-0.444 -0.44)71.49% (0.446 0.45)
Score Analysis
    Bahia 51.15%
    America Mineiro 24.34%
    Draw 24.51%
BahiaDrawAmerica Mineiro
1-0 @ 11.02%
2-1 @ 9.6% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
2-0 @ 9.08% (0.175 0.18)
3-1 @ 5.27% (0.142 0.14)
3-0 @ 4.99% (0.19 0.19)
3-2 @ 2.79% (0.044 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.17% (0.1 0.1)
4-0 @ 2.05% (0.116 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.15% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 51.15%
1-1 @ 11.65% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 6.69% (-0.133 -0.13)
2-2 @ 5.07% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.51%
0-1 @ 7.07% (-0.224 -0.22)
1-2 @ 6.16% (-0.144 -0.14)
0-2 @ 3.74% (-0.162 -0.16)
1-3 @ 2.17% (-0.076 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.79% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.32% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 24.34%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Sao Paulo 0-0 Bahia
Sunday, July 30 at 3pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 0-0 Corinthians
Saturday, July 22 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Athletico PR 2-0 Bahia
Sunday, July 16 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 1-1 Bahia (4-3 pen.)
Thursday, July 13 at 12am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Cuiaba 1-1 Bahia
Saturday, July 8 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 1-1 Gremio
Wednesday, July 5 at 1am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: America Mineiro 1-1 Bragantino
Friday, August 4 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: America Mineiro 1-4 Palmeiras
Sunday, July 30 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 1-1 America Mineiro
Saturday, July 22 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: America Mineiro 5-1 Colo-Colo
Tuesday, July 18 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Corinthians 3-2 America Mineiro (3-1 pen.)
Saturday, July 15 at 8.30pm in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Colo-Colo 2-1 America Mineiro
Tuesday, July 11 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana


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