Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 49.86%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Santos had a probability of 22.86%.
The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (8.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that America Mineiro would win this match.
0.05) 
-0.58) 
