Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 48.71%. A win for Goias had a probability of 25.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest Goias win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
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