Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 42.53%. A win for Cuiaba had a probability of 29.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Cuiaba win was 1-0 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.
0.15) 
-0.01) 
