Despite the quality that both teams possess in the attack, we anticipate this will be a cagey affair as Sao Paulo like to keep things tight and are not as aggressive away from home, while Mineiro tend to take some time to settle into a match.
Galo always seem to find a way to get the job done on their home field, and having an extra couple of days to rest should be enough to see them narrowly defeat Tricolor Paulista.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 54.26%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 20.84%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (7.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
0.03) 
-0.33) 
