Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 37.87%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 34.44% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (10.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
-0.04) 
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