SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 72.92%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 10.06%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.19%) and 3-0 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.09%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Mineiro | Draw | Vasco da Gama |
72.92% ( 0.08) | 17.01% ( -0.02) | 10.06% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 46.31% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.19% ( -0.03) | 41.81% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.79% ( -0.03) | 64.21% ( 0.03) |
| Atletico Mineiro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.97% ( 0.01) | 10.03% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.91% ( 0.03) | 33.09% ( -0.02) |
| Vasco da Gama Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.47% ( -0.12) | 48.52% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.39% ( -0.09) | 83.61% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Mineiro | Draw | Vasco da Gama |
| 2-0 @ 12.86% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 11.19% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 9.86% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.13% ( -0)4-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 4.1% ( -0)5-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.89% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0)6-0 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.23% Total : 72.91% | 1-1 @ 8.09% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.69% Total : 17.01% | 0-1 @ 3.52% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.35% Total : 10.06% |
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