SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Racing Club | 14 | 15 | 30 |
| 2 | Estudiantes | 13 | 15 | 28 |
| 3 | River Plate | 13 | 18 | 26 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Cuiaba | 15 | -6 | 16 |
| 19 | Juventude | 15 | -13 | 11 |
| 20 | Fortaleza | 15 | -8 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 59.84%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 18.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Estudiantes | Draw | Fortaleza |
59.84% ( 0.01) | 22.05% ( 0.01) | 18.1% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 51.44% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.56% ( -0.07) | 46.44% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.27% ( -0.07) | 68.72% ( 0.07) |
| Estudiantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.88% ( -0.02) | 15.11% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.33% ( -0.04) | 43.67% ( 0.04) |
| Fortaleza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.6% ( -0.07) | 39.39% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.91% ( -0.06) | 76.09% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Estudiantes | Draw | Fortaleza |
| 1-0 @ 11.25% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 10.62% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.24% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.16% 4-1 @ 2.95% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.2% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 2.43% Total : 59.83% | 1-1 @ 10.48% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.05% | 0-1 @ 5.55% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.58% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.52% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.15% Total : 18.1% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
