Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 46.38%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Gremio win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Flamengo in this match.
-2.02) 
0.52) 
