Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 36.39%. A win for Santos had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.7%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Santos win was 1-0 (11.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
1.31) 
-1.77) 
