Although the visitors have been somewhat better defensively in recent weeks, the hosts will feel they can earn a positive result given their opponents have been poor away from home.
Augsburg have also proven difficult to beat in their past several games, but they are unlikely to create many chances in the final third, and it is imperative that they limit Leipzig's threat if they are to take points on Friday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 34.98% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.6%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
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