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Bundesliga | Gameweek 22
Feb 26, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
UB

Bayern
3 - 0
Union Berlin

Maxim Choupo-Moting (31'), Coman (40'), Musiala (45+1')
Pavard (83')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Thorsby (33')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Union Berlin 3-1 Ajax
Thursday, February 23 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Bayern Munich 2-2 Union Berlin

Given that Bayern Munich have struggled to turn draws into wins this season, we can see a resilient Union Berlin outfit leaving the Allianz Arena with a point on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 76.77%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 8.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.22%) and 1-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.91%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (2.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawUnion Berlin
76.77% (-0.101 -0.1) 14.65% (0.058 0.06) 8.59% (0.044 0.04)
Both teams to score 48.89% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.8% (-0.137 -0.14)35.2% (0.136 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.79% (-0.152 -0.15)57.21% (0.152 0.15)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.46% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)7.54% (0.0511 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.97% (-0.136 -0.14)27.03% (0.134 0.13)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.88%47.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.42%82.58%
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 76.76%
    Union Berlin 8.59%
    Draw 14.65%
Bayern MunichDrawUnion Berlin
2-0 @ 11.87% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 10.22% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.18% (0.039 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.93% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.7% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 6.61% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
4-1 @ 4.97% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-0 @ 3.42% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 2.57% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.87% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.47% (-0.014 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.11% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-2 @ 0.97% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 76.76%
1-1 @ 6.91% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.55% (0.025 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.36% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 14.65%
0-1 @ 2.67% (0.018 0.02)
1-2 @ 2.6% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.01% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 8.59%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 3-2 Bayern
Saturday, February 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: PSG 0-1 Bayern
Tuesday, February 14 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Bayern 3-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, February 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-4 Bayern
Sunday, February 5 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 0-4 Bayern
Wednesday, February 1 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Bayern 1-1 Frankfurt
Saturday, January 28 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 3-1 Ajax
Thursday, February 23 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Union Berlin 0-0 Schalke
Sunday, February 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Ajax 0-0 Union Berlin
Thursday, February 16 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: RB Leipzig 1-2 Union Berlin
Saturday, February 11 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 2-1 Mainz
Saturday, February 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 2-1 Wolfsburg
Tuesday, January 31 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal


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