SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 44.69%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 2-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Wolfsburg |
30.73% ( 0.05) | 24.57% ( -0.07) | 44.69% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.51% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.77% ( 0.33) | 45.23% ( -0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.43% ( 0.31) | 67.57% ( -0.32) |
| Mainz 05 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.2% ( 0.2) | 27.8% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.61% ( 0.26) | 63.39% ( -0.26) |
| Wolfsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.66% ( 0.14) | 20.34% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.27% ( 0.22) | 52.73% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Wolfsburg |
| 2-1 @ 7.38% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.15% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.84% Total : 30.73% | 1-1 @ 11.52% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.57% | 1-2 @ 9.18% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 7.17% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 4.87% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.81% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.94% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.84% Total : 44.69% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
