SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 55.86%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 22.12% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (5.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Freiburg | Draw | FC Koln |
55.86% ( 1.45) | 22.02% ( -0.44) | 22.12% ( -1.02) |
| Both teams to score 58.17% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.31% ( 0.82) | 40.69% ( -0.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.92% ( 0.83) | 63.07% ( -0.84) |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.54% ( 0.75) | 14.46% ( -0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.58% ( 1.45) | 42.41% ( -1.45) |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68% ( -0.44) | 31.99% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.54% ( -0.5) | 68.46% ( 0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Freiburg | Draw | FC Koln |
| 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.95% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 8.65% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.19)3-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.24)3-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 3.07% ( 0.17)4-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.18)4-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.08)5-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.1)5-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.1)Other @ 3.1% Total : 55.86% | 1-1 @ 10.19% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.18)3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.02% | 1-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.2) 0-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.27)0-2 @ 3% ( -0.19)1-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.55% Total : 22.12% |
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