While Borussia Dortmund have had mixed form in recent matches, they are a dominant team overall, who should have no shortage of belief that they can take all three points at the weekend. They have a stronger squad on paper, with a vast amount of experience, and that is something that should see them through this particular fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 78.24%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 8.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.18%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 1-2 (2.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Arminia Bielefeld
78.24%	13.47%	8.29%

Both teams to score 52.57%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.95%

30.05%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.74%

51.26%

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.87%

6.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

76.75%

23.24%

Arminia Bielefeld Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56%

44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.88%

80.12%

Score Analysis

Borussia Dortmund 78.23%

Arminia Bielefeld 8.29%

Draw 13.47%

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Arminia Bielefeld
2-0 @ 10.51% 3-0 @ 9.79% 2-1 @ 8.63% 3-1 @ 8.04% 1-0 @ 7.53% 4-0 @ 6.84% 4-1 @ 5.61% 5-0 @ 3.82% 3-2 @ 3.3% 5-1 @ 3.14% 4-2 @ 2.3% 6-0 @ 1.78% 6-1 @ 1.46% 5-2 @ 1.29% Other @ 4.21% Total : 78.23%	1-1 @ 6.18% 2-2 @ 3.55% 0-0 @ 2.7% 3-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 0.14% Total : 13.47%	1-2 @ 2.54% 0-1 @ 2.21% 2-3 @ 0.97% 0-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.66% Total : 8.29%