These are the types of fixtures that Dortmund usually slip up in, but after managing to grind out victories in their last two outings despite lacking defensive options, we can see them possessing the momentum and motivation to do so again on Sunday. The hosts are a tough outfit to face and will be well drilled, so a tight affair looks likely and one goal may be enough to win it for either side once more. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 52.32%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 25.29% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.09%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 2-1 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result
FC Koln	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
25.29%	22.39%	52.32%

Both teams to score 60.83%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.05%

38.95%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.73%

61.27%

FC Koln Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.57%

28.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.82%

64.18%

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.99%

15.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.52%

43.48%

Score Analysis

FC Koln 25.29%

Borussia Dortmund 52.32%

Draw 22.38%

FC Koln	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 6.4% 1-0 @ 5.37% 2-0 @ 3.38% 3-1 @ 2.69% 3-2 @ 2.55% 3-0 @ 1.42% Other @ 3.5% Total : 25.29%	1-1 @ 10.17% 2-2 @ 6.07% 0-0 @ 4.27% 3-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.38%	1-2 @ 9.65% 0-1 @ 8.09% 0-2 @ 7.67% 1-3 @ 6.1% 0-3 @ 4.85% 2-3 @ 3.84% 1-4 @ 2.89% 0-4 @ 2.3% 2-4 @ 1.82% 1-5 @ 1.1% Other @ 4.01% Total : 52.32%