SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 42.94%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 33.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.67%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Werder Bremen | Draw | Mainz 05 |
33.21% ( -0.13) | 23.84% ( 0.02) | 42.94% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 61.2% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.13% ( -0.18) | 40.86% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.74% ( -0.18) | 63.25% ( 0.18) |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.85% ( -0.16) | 24.15% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.53% ( -0.23) | 58.46% ( 0.22) |
| Mainz 05 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.69% ( -0.03) | 19.31% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.93% ( -0.05) | 51.06% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Werder Bremen | Draw | Mainz 05 |
| 2-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.71% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.67% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.85% Total : 33.21% | 1-1 @ 10.89% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.84% | 1-2 @ 8.96% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.67% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 6.31% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.91% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.46% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.02% 2-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.27% Total : 42.94% |
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