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Serie A | Gameweek 10
Oct 16, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
ML

Hellas Verona
1 - 2
AC Milan

Gunter (19')
Magnani (67'), Hongla (68'), Faraoni (75')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Veloso (9' og.), Tonali (81')
Hernandez (81'), Rebic (90')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AC Milan 0-2 Chelsea
Tuesday, October 11 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Hellas Verona 0-2 AC Milan

The last Serie A draw between Verona and Milan at the Bentegodi was in December 2000, and that run is set to remain unbroken as the champions claim victory again. Despite their absences, the Rossoneri have too much pace and guile for their hosts to handle and should score at least twice. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 64.07%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 16.34%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.85%) and 0-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 2-1 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for AC Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AC Milan.

Result
Hellas VeronaDrawAC Milan
16.34% (0.883 0.88) 19.59% (0.265 0.27) 64.07% (-1.148 -1.15)
Both teams to score 56.14% (1.168 1.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.56% (0.52200000000001 0.52)38.44% (-0.521 -0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.27% (0.55200000000001 0.55)60.73% (-0.551 -0.55)
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.33% (1.424 1.42)36.67% (-1.425 -1.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.54% (1.401 1.4)73.46% (-1.401 -1.4)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.65% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)11.36% (0.152 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.94% (-0.329 -0.33)36.06% (0.33000000000001 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Hellas Verona 16.34%
    AC Milan 64.07%
    Draw 19.59%
Hellas VeronaDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 4.56% (0.207 0.21)
1-0 @ 4.18% (0.058 0.06)
2-0 @ 2.1% (0.107 0.11)
3-2 @ 1.66% (0.126 0.13)
3-1 @ 1.52% (0.124 0.12)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 16.34%
1-1 @ 9.09% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.96% (0.196 0.2)
0-0 @ 4.16% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.084 0.08)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 19.59%
1-2 @ 9.89% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 9.85% (-0.366 -0.37)
0-1 @ 9.06% (-0.284 -0.28)
1-3 @ 7.17% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 7.15% (-0.315 -0.32)
1-4 @ 3.9% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-4 @ 3.89% (-0.197 -0.2)
2-3 @ 3.6% (0.122 0.12)
2-4 @ 1.96% (0.055 0.05)
1-5 @ 1.7% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-5 @ 1.69% (-0.096 -0.1)
Other @ 4.24%
Total : 64.07%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Salernitana 2-1 Hellas Verona
Sunday, October 9 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Hellas Verona 1-2 Udinese
Monday, October 3 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-0 Hellas Verona
Sunday, September 18 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 2-0 Hellas Verona
Sunday, September 11 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Hellas Verona 2-1 Sampdoria
Sunday, September 4 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 1-1 Hellas Verona
Wednesday, August 31 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 0-2 Chelsea
Tuesday, October 11 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: AC Milan 2-0 Juventus
Saturday, October 8 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Chelsea 3-0 AC Milan
Wednesday, October 5 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Empoli 1-3 AC Milan
Saturday, October 1 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 1-2 Napoli
Sunday, September 18 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 3-1 Dinamo Zagreb
Wednesday, September 14 at 5.45pm in Champions League


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