SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 59.47%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Royal Antwerp had a probability of 18.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Royal Antwerp win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Royal Antwerp |
59.47% ( -0.02) | 21.98% ( 0.01) | 18.55% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.5% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.55% ( -0.03) | 45.45% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.22% ( -0.03) | 67.78% ( 0.03) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.1% ( -0.02) | 14.9% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 56.73% ( -0.03) | 43.27% ( 0.03) |
| Royal Antwerp Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.69% ( -0.01) | 38.3% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.94% ( -0.01) | 75.06% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Porto | Draw | Royal Antwerp |
| 1-0 @ 10.86% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.34% 2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.56% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.3% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.12% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0)4-1 @ 3% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.19% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 2.56% Total : 59.46% | 1-1 @ 10.42% 0-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.97% | 0-1 @ 5.48% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.63% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.6% 2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0)Other @ 2.32% Total : 18.55% |
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