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Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 7, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Do Dragao
RA

Porto
2 - 0
Antwerp

Evanilson (32' pen.), Pepe (90+1')
Carmo (58'), Conceicao (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Yusuf (20'), Vermeeren (45+2'), Wijndal (62')
Ekkelenkamp (52')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Porto 0-1 Estoril
Friday, November 3 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Antwerp 3-2 Genk
Saturday, November 4 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League

We said: Porto 3-1 Royal Antwerp

Antwerp are certainly capable of causing problems on Tuesday, and we are backing them to find the back of the net in their fourth match in the competition. Porto have so much quality, though, and even with some injuries to important players, we are expecting the Portuguese outfit to win this match relatively comfortably. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 59.47%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Royal Antwerp had a probability of 18.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Royal Antwerp win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
PortoDrawRoyal Antwerp
59.47% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02) 21.98% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 18.55% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Both teams to score 52.5% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.55% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)45.45% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.22% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)67.78% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.1% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)14.9% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.73% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)43.27% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Royal Antwerp Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.69% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)38.3% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.94% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)75.06% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Porto 59.46%
    Royal Antwerp 18.55%
    Draw 21.97%
PortoDrawRoyal Antwerp
1-0 @ 10.86% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.34%
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 6.56% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 6.3% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-0 @ 3.12% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 3% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-2 @ 1.44% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.19% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.14% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 59.46%
1-1 @ 10.42%
0-0 @ 5.71% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.76% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 21.97%
0-1 @ 5.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 5% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 2.63% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 1.6%
2-3 @ 1.52% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 18.55%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Porto 0-1 Estoril
Friday, November 3 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Vizela 0-2 Porto
Sunday, October 29 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Antwerp 1-4 Porto
Wednesday, October 25 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Vilar de Perdizes 0-2 Porto
Friday, October 20 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Porto 1-0 Portimonense
Sunday, October 8 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 0-1 Barcelona
Wednesday, October 4 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Antwerp 3-2 Genk
Saturday, November 4 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Brugge 2-1 Antwerp
Sunday, October 29 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Antwerp 1-4 Porto
Wednesday, October 25 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Charleroi 3-2 Antwerp
Saturday, October 21 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Antwerp 4-1 Eupen
Sunday, October 8 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Antwerp 2-3 Shakhtar
Wednesday, October 4 at 5.45pm in Champions League


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