SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff City | Draw | Norwich City |
41.54% ( -0.04) | 25.38% ( 0.01) | 33.07% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 55.73% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.02% ( -0.04) | 47.98% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.85% ( -0.04) | 70.15% ( 0.03) |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.03% ( -0.04) | 22.96% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.25% ( -0.05) | 56.75% ( 0.05) |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.35% ( 0) | 27.65% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.81% ( 0) | 63.19% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff City | Draw | Norwich City |
| 1-0 @ 9.34% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.87% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.24% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 2.15% Total : 41.54% | 1-1 @ 12% 0-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.37% | 0-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.72% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.31% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.25% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.89% Total : 33.07% |
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