SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 42.27%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 29.73% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Millwall |
42.27% ( -0.02) | 27.99% ( -0.03) | 29.73% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 46.43% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.69% ( 0.13) | 59.31% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.29% ( 0.1) | 79.71% ( -0.1) |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.28% ( 0.05) | 27.71% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.72% ( 0.06) | 63.28% ( -0.06) |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.23% ( 0.11) | 35.77% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.45% ( 0.11) | 72.54% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Luton Town | Draw | Millwall |
| 1-0 @ 12.72% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.16% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.49% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 1.8% Total : 42.27% | 1-1 @ 13.07% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.91% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.98% | 0-1 @ 10.19% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)Other @ 2% Total : 29.73% |
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