With Stoke having very little to play for, Sheffield United should be able to take control of this game and we think the Blades will be victorious. The international break will have provided the perfect opportunity for Paul Heckingbottom's side to recharge as they aim to secure a top-six spot.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 38.28%. A win for Sheffield United had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Sheffield United win was 0-1 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stoke City in this match.
