Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 56.02%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Estudiantes had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Estudiantes win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
