Playing in a game of this magnitude is foreign territory for many of these Argentinos players, and the Maracana has proven to be a massive advantage for Fluminense, who have plenty of recent experience to draw upon in these continental competitions, which should come in handy.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 41.24%. A win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Fluminense in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fluminense.
-0.11) 
0.13) 
