SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 47.2%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 27.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 0-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Fluminense |
47.2% ( 0.07) | 25.32% ( -0.03) | 27.48% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 52.98% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.77% ( 0.1) | 50.23% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.81% ( 0.09) | 72.19% ( -0.08) |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.71% ( 0.07) | 21.3% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.77% ( 0.11) | 54.23% ( -0.11) |
| Fluminense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.31% ( 0.02) | 32.69% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.76% ( 0.02) | 69.24% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Fluminense |
| 1-0 @ 10.76% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.33% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.8% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 2.46% Total : 47.19% | 1-1 @ 12.03% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.31% | 0-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.73% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.62% ( -0)Other @ 2.55% Total : 27.48% |
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