Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 50.17%. A win for Colo-Colo had a probability of 25.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Colo-Colo win was 0-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
