SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Eindhoven win with a probability of 44.22%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 34.37% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.47%) and 0-1 (4.84%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 2-1 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jong PSV | Draw | FC Eindhoven |
34.37% ( -1.63) | 21.42% ( -0.12) | 44.22% ( 1.75) |
| Both teams to score 70.94% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.65% ( 0.19) | 28.35% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.82% ( 0.24) | 49.18% ( -0.24) |
| Jong PSV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.31% ( -0.64) | 17.69% ( 0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.67% ( -1.12) | 48.34% ( 1.13) |
| FC Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.18% ( 0.68) | 13.82% ( -0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.84% ( 1.34) | 41.16% ( -1.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong PSV | Draw | FC Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 7.26% ( -0.21) 1-0 @ 4.23% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 4.19% ( -0.22)3-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 3.67% ( -0.2)3-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.16)4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.13)4-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.09)4-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.04% Total : 34.37% | 1-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 7.18% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 2.74% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.68% Total : 21.42% | 1-2 @ 8.29% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 5.47% ( 0.22)0-1 @ 4.84% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.18)2-3 @ 4.74% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.19)1-4 @ 2.71% ( 0.17)2-4 @ 2.35% ( 0.1)0-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.13)3-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.03)1-5 @ 1.07% ( 0.09)2-5 @ 0.93% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.96% Total : 44.22% |
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