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Eredivisie | Gameweek 10
Oct 29, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Philips Stadion
A

PSV
5 - 2
Ajax

Lozano (20', 60', 72'), de Jong (49'), Saibari (52')
Saibari (90')
FT(HT: 1-2)
van den Boomen (10'), Brobbey (40')
Hato (13'), Bergwijn (62')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lens 1-1 PSV
Tuesday, October 24 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Brighton 2-0 Ajax
Thursday, October 26 at 8pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 65.48%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 17.31% and a draw had a probability of 17.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.71%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (4.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawAjax
65.48% (1.588 1.59) 17.2% (-0.305 -0.31) 17.31% (-1.287 -1.29)
Both teams to score 67.97% (-1.53 -1.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.43% (-0.80399999999999 -0.8)24.56% (0.802 0.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.65% (-1.066 -1.07)44.35% (1.063 1.06)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.79% (0.088999999999999 0.09)7.21% (-0.0911 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.84% (0.235 0.23)26.16% (-0.237 -0.24)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.25% (-1.722 -1.72)26.74% (1.719 1.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.98% (-2.326 -2.33)62.02% (2.326 2.33)
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 65.48%
    Ajax 17.31%
    Draw 17.2%
PSV EindhovenDrawAjax
2-1 @ 8.79% (0.125 0.13)
3-1 @ 7.71% (0.145 0.15)
2-0 @ 6.67% (0.41 0.41)
3-0 @ 5.85% (0.386 0.39)
3-2 @ 5.08% (-0.156 -0.16)
4-1 @ 5.07% (0.12 0.12)
1-0 @ 5.07% (0.29 0.29)
4-0 @ 3.84% (0.27 0.27)
4-2 @ 3.34% (-0.085 -0.09)
5-1 @ 2.67% (0.076 0.08)
5-0 @ 2.02% (0.152 0.15)
5-2 @ 1.76% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-3 @ 1.47% (-0.114 -0.11)
6-1 @ 1.17% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 4.98%
Total : 65.48%
1-1 @ 6.69% (0.063999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.8% (-0.205 -0.21)
3-3 @ 2.24% (-0.184 -0.18)
0-0 @ 1.93% (0.101 0.1)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 17.2%
1-2 @ 4.41% (-0.178 -0.18)
2-3 @ 2.55% (-0.223 -0.22)
0-1 @ 2.54% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.94% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-2 @ 1.68% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 4.2%
Total : 17.31%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Lens 1-1 PSV
Tuesday, October 24 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: PSV 3-1 Sittard
Saturday, October 21 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sparta 0-4 PSV
Sunday, October 8 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 2-2 Sevilla
Tuesday, October 3 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: PSV 3-1 Volendam
Saturday, September 30 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 3-0 Go Ahead Eagles
Wednesday, September 27 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Brighton 2-0 Ajax
Thursday, October 26 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Utrecht 4-3 Ajax
Sunday, October 22 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 1-2 AZ
Sunday, October 8 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: AEK Athens 1-1 Ajax
Thursday, October 5 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Ajax 0-4 Feyenoord
Wednesday, September 27 at 1pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 3-3 Marseille
Thursday, September 21 at 8pm in Europa League


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