Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 42.85%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%).
0.38) 
-0.08) 
