The French outfit will fancy their chances of taking a lead in the tie on Thursday, and we do not see them slipping up on home turf. Sampaoli has plenty of talent at his disposal, and with the squad on a high given their run of impressive form, we see them outclassing PAOK at the Stade Velodrome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 41.58%. A win for PAOK had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest PAOK win was 0-1 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
Marseille	Draw	PAOK
41.58%	26.69%	31.73%

Both teams to score 51.05%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.19%

53.81%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.72%

75.28%

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.46%

25.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.61%

60.39%

PAOK Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.56%

31.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.18%

67.81%

Score Analysis

Marseille 41.58%

PAOK 31.73%

Draw 26.69%

Marseille	Draw	PAOK
1-0 @ 10.95% 2-1 @ 8.66% 2-0 @ 7.48% 3-1 @ 3.94% 3-0 @ 3.4% 3-2 @ 2.28% 4-1 @ 1.35% 4-0 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.36% Total : 41.58%	1-1 @ 12.68% 0-0 @ 8.03% 2-2 @ 5.01% Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.69%	0-1 @ 9.29% 1-2 @ 7.34% 0-2 @ 5.37% 1-3 @ 2.83% 0-3 @ 2.07% 2-3 @ 1.93% Other @ 2.89% Total : 31.73%