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Thursday, March 28
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Europa Conference League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Apr 14, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stadio Toumbas
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PAOK
0 - 1
Marseille


Douglas (66'), Schwab (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Payet (34')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PAOK 2-0 Panathinaikos
Tuesday, May 17 at 6pm in Greek Superleague

We said: PAOK 1-3 Marseille (Marseille win 5-2 on aggregate)

PAOK should come out firing to overturn the deficit, but that could ultimately be to their detriment as the visitors have the quality to punish them on the break. While we fancy the Greek outfit to grab a goal, we see Sampaoli's side triumphing again and progressing with a dominant aggregate win, even without the Argentinian on the touchline. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 35.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Marseille win was 1-2 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
PAOKDrawMarseille
39.73%24.71%35.56%
Both teams to score 58.68%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.59%44.41%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.22%66.78%
PAOK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.7%22.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.24%55.76%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.52%24.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.07%58.93%
Score Analysis
    PAOK 39.73%
    Marseille 35.56%
    Draw 24.7%
PAOKDrawMarseille
2-1 @ 8.65%
1-0 @ 8.19%
2-0 @ 6.15%
3-1 @ 4.33%
3-0 @ 3.08%
3-2 @ 3.05%
4-1 @ 1.62%
4-0 @ 1.15%
4-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 39.73%
1-1 @ 11.52%
2-2 @ 6.09%
0-0 @ 5.46%
3-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.7%
1-2 @ 8.11%
0-1 @ 7.68%
0-2 @ 5.41%
1-3 @ 3.81%
2-3 @ 2.86%
0-3 @ 2.54%
1-4 @ 1.34%
2-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 35.56%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Marseille 2-1 PAOK
Thursday, April 7 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Panathinaikos 2-1 PAOK
Sunday, April 3 at 5pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: AEK Athens 0-1 PAOK
Sunday, March 20 at 5.30pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Gent 1-2 PAOK
Thursday, March 17 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: PAOK 1-0 PAS Giannina
Sunday, March 13 at 7.30pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: PAOK 1-0 Gent
Thursday, March 10 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Marseille 2-0 Montpellier
Sunday, April 10 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 2-1 PAOK
Thursday, April 7 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: St Etienne 2-4 Marseille
Sunday, April 3 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 2-1 Nice
Sunday, March 20 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Basel 1-2 Marseille
Thursday, March 17 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Brest 1-4 Marseille
Sunday, March 13 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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