Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 59.64%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Gambia had a probability of 13.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.27%) and 2-1 (7.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.32%), while for a Gambia win it was 0-1 (7.35%).
