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La Liga | Gameweek 16
Dec 8, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
San Mames Barria
VL

Athletic Bilbao
2 - 0
Villarreal

Paredes (15'), Williams (69')
Sancet (55'), Prados (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Comesana (35')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pontevedra 1-0 Villarreal
Wednesday, December 4 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Villarreal

Perez's return is huge news for Villarreal, and we fancy the Yellow Submarine to claim a point here; Athletic are strong at home and will enter the clash off the back of a brilliant result, but it was 1-1 at San Mames in the corresponding game last term, and we can see the same scoreline on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 42.68%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawVillarreal
42.68% (0.025999999999996 0.03) 26.93% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 30.4% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 49.8% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.83% (0.010000000000005 0.01)55.17% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.59% (0.010000000000002 0.01)76.41% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.41% (0.018000000000001 0.02)25.58% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.54% (0.024999999999999 0.02)60.46% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.91% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)33.08% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.32% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)69.67% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 42.67%
    Villarreal 30.4%
    Draw 26.92%
Athletic BilbaoDrawVillarreal
1-0 @ 11.53%
2-1 @ 8.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.86% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 3.95% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 3.57% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.35% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.22% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 42.67%
1-1 @ 12.76%
0-0 @ 8.46% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-2 @ 4.81% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.92%
0-1 @ 9.36% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 5.18% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.6% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.91% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.77% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 30.4%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Real Madrid
Wednesday, December 4 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 1-2 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, December 1 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 3-0 Elfsborg
Thursday, November 28 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Real Sociedad
Sunday, November 24 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valladolid 1-1 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, November 10 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Ludogorets 1-2 Athletic Bilbao
Thursday, November 7 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Pontevedra 1-0 Villarreal
Wednesday, December 4 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Villarreal 2-2 Girona
Sunday, December 1 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Osasuna 2-2 Villarreal
Sunday, November 24 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 3-0 Alaves
Saturday, November 9 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Poblense 1-6 Villarreal
Tuesday, October 29 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Valladolid 1-2 Villarreal
Saturday, October 26 at 1pm in La Liga


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