Both of these sides are in good form, and it is shaping up to be a fascinating match on Friday night; these are the type of games that Rayo must win in order to be viewed as European contenders, but we are expecting Leganes to be good enough to avoid a defeat.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 47.09%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.4%) and 1-2 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Leganes win it was 1-0 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Rayo Vallecano in this match.
-0.22) 
0.26) 
