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La Liga | Gameweek 20
Feb 1, 2024 at 8pm UK
Coliseum Alfonso Perez
RM

Getafe
0 - 2
Real Madrid


Dakonam (26')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Joselu (14', 56')
Mendy (30'), Ancelotti (90+4'), Tchouameni (90+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Getafe 2-0 Granada
Monday, January 29 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Getafe 1-2 Real Madrid

Having lost just once at home in the league this season, Getafe will fancy their chances of causing Real Madrid a problem or two. While we think that Getafe may run Real Madrid close, we think the visitors will have enough quality to claim maximum points in Thursday's encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 59%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 17.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.74%) and 1-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Getafe win it was 1-0 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
GetafeDrawReal Madrid
17.44% (-0.619 -0.62) 23.56% (0.071999999999999 0.07) 59% (0.549 0.55)
Both teams to score 45.74% (-1.299 -1.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.55% (-1.14 -1.14)53.45% (1.14 1.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.03% (-0.972 -0.97)74.97% (0.974 0.97)
Getafe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.68% (-1.429 -1.43)44.32% (1.43 1.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.61% (-1.188 -1.19)80.39% (1.188 1.19)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.14% (-0.218 -0.22)17.86% (0.219 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.38% (-0.375 -0.38)48.62% (0.377 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Getafe 17.44%
    Real Madrid 58.99%
    Draw 23.56%
GetafeDrawReal Madrid
1-0 @ 6.44% (0.036 0.04)
2-1 @ 4.51% (-0.189 -0.19)
2-0 @ 2.62% (-0.091 -0.09)
3-1 @ 1.22% (-0.103 -0.1)
3-2 @ 1.06% (-0.096 -0.1)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 17.44%
1-1 @ 11.09% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.91% (0.349 0.35)
2-2 @ 3.89% (-0.191 -0.19)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 23.56%
0-1 @ 13.63% (0.51 0.51)
0-2 @ 11.74% (0.36 0.36)
1-2 @ 9.56% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-3 @ 6.75% (0.159 0.16)
1-3 @ 5.49% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-4 @ 2.91% (0.048 0.05)
1-4 @ 2.36% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.127 -0.13)
0-5 @ 1% (0.0099999999999999 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.96% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 58.99%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Getafe 2-0 Granada
Monday, January 29 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Osasuna 3-2 Getafe
Sunday, January 21 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Getafe 1-3 Sevilla
Tuesday, January 16 at 7pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Espanyol 0-1 Getafe
Saturday, January 6 at 4pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Getafe 0-2 Rayo Vallecano
Tuesday, January 2 at 4pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 3-3 Getafe
Tuesday, December 19 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Las Palmas 1-2 Real Madrid
Saturday, January 27 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 3-2 Almeria
Sunday, January 21 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 4-2 Real Madrid
Thursday, January 18 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Real Madrid 4-1 Barcelona
Sunday, January 14 at 7pm in Supercopa de Espana
Last Game: Real Madrid 5-3 Atletico
Wednesday, January 10 at 7pm in Supercopa de Espana
Last Game: Arandina 1-3 Real Madrid
Saturday, January 6 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey


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