Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 30.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
