Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 49.16%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 24.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.81%) and 1-2 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 1-0 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
