Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 50.76%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 23.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.05%) and 1-2 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 1-0 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
