SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Drogheda United | 18 | -10 | 20 |
| 9 | Finn Harps | 18 | -16 | 11 |
| 10 | University College Dublin | 18 | -27 | 9 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 19 | 21 | 42 |
| 2 | Dundalk | 18 | 13 | 34 |
| 3 | Derry City | 19 | 15 | 33 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 42.97%. A win for Finn Harps had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest Finn Harps win was 1-0 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Dundalk in this match.
| Result | ||
| Finn Harps | Draw | Dundalk |
29.22% ( 2.09) | 27.81% ( -0.02) | 42.97% ( -2.07) |
| Both teams to score 46.7% ( 1.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.15% ( 1) | 58.84% ( -1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.65% ( 0.77) | 79.35% ( -0.77) |
| Finn Harps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.08% ( 2.24) | 35.91% ( -2.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.31% ( 2.23) | 72.69% ( -2.22) |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.87% ( -0.61) | 27.12% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.48% ( -0.8) | 62.51% ( 0.8) |
| Score Analysis |
| Finn Harps | Draw | Dundalk |
| 1-0 @ 9.98% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 6.66% ( 0.43)2-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.41)3-1 @ 2.28% ( 0.27)3-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.24)3-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.16)Other @ 1.97% Total : 29.22% | 1-1 @ 13.01% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 9.74% ( -0.37)2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.21)Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.8% | 0-1 @ 12.71% ( -0.71) 1-2 @ 8.49% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 8.29% ( -0.62)1-3 @ 3.69% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.34)2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.13)Other @ 1.91% Total : 42.97% |
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