Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 68.81%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 12.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.18%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.91%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundalk would win this match.
