Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 42.14%. A win for Dundalk had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Dundalk win was 0-1 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
