Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 48.4%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Shelbourne had a probability of 25.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.37%) and 1-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for a Shelbourne win it was 1-0 (8.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shamrock Rovers would win this match.
