Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 48.93%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Finn Harps had a probability of 24.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.56%) and 1-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.45%), while for a Finn Harps win it was 1-0 (8.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
