Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 72.93%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Finn Harps had a probability of 9.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.67%) and 3-0 (10.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.33%), while for a Finn Harps win it was 0-1 (3.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shamrock Rovers would win this match.
