Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sligo Rovers win with a probability of 42.07%. A win for Finn Harps had a probability of 29.6% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sligo Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (8.22%). The likeliest Finn Harps win was 1-0 (10.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sligo Rovers in this match.
