Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sligo Rovers win with a probability of 49.09%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Finn Harps had a probability of 23.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for a Finn Harps win it was 0-1 (8.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sligo Rovers would win this match.
