Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sligo Rovers win with a probability of 37.65%. A win for Shelbourne had a probability of 33.24% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.65%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Shelbourne win was 0-1 (11.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
