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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 45.44%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 28.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%).
| Result | ||
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Derby County |
45.44% ( -1.44) | 26.07% ( 0.56) | 28.49% ( 0.88) |
| Both teams to score 51.35% ( -1.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.32% ( -1.77) | 52.68% ( 1.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.67% ( -1.54) | 74.32% ( 1.53) |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.87% ( -1.41) | 23.13% ( 1.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.01% ( -2.1) | 56.99% ( 2.1) |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.79% ( -0.26) | 33.21% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.18% ( -0.28) | 69.81% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Derby County |
| 1-0 @ 11.24% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.19)2-0 @ 8.23% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 4.43% ( -0.29)3-0 @ 4.02% ( -0.23)3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.18)4-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.18)4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.15)Other @ 2.91% Total : 45.43% | 1-1 @ 12.39% ( 0.26) 0-0 @ 7.68% ( 0.52)2-2 @ 5% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.07% | 0-1 @ 8.47% ( 0.52) 1-2 @ 6.83% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.26)1-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.46% Total : 28.49% |
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